Regression valuation

Fit an ordinary least squares regression of a valuation multiple against a fundamental driver. Each company's residual quantifies how much it trades above or below where the comp set says it should. Inspired by Meritech's growth-adjusted multiple framework.Snapshot: 2026-08-04.

Universe: Cybersecurity · 12 companies
Model
y = 27.34·x + 1.20
n = 12 · R² = 0.248
Most undervalued vs. model
Trading below the regression line
TickerActualModelResidual
ZSZscaler, Inc.6.3x13.8x-54.3%
NTSKNetskope, Inc. Class A Common Stock5.4x11.6x-53.7%
SSentinelOne, Inc.4.9x9.6x-49.1%
CLBTCellebrite DI Ltd.5.6x9.9x-43.5%
VRNSVaronis Systems, Inc.5.9x9.8x-40.3%
Most overvalued vs. model
Trading above the regression line
TickerActualModelResidual
CRWDCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.31.7x11.4x178.3%
RPDRapid7, Inc.1.2x0.5x137.7%
QLYSQualys, Inc.6.8x4.7x45.0%
PANWPalo Alto Networks, Inc.21.1x14.9x41.4%
OKTAOkta, Inc.6.7x5.3x26.3%