Regression valuation

Fit an ordinary least squares regression of a valuation multiple against a fundamental driver. Each company's residual quantifies how much it trades above or below where the comp set says it should. Inspired by Meritech's growth-adjusted multiple framework.Snapshot: 2026-08-04.

Universe: Semiconductors · 6 companies
Model
y = 0.91·x + 8.80
n = 6 · R² = 0.064
Most undervalued vs. model
Trading below the regression line
TickerActualModelResidual
MKSIMKS Inc.4.9x9.1x-46.8%
COHRCoherent, Inc.6.5x9.5x-30.9%
LITELumentum Holdings Inc.11.2x11.2x-0.1%
AMATApplied Materials, Inc.10.6x9.2x14.8%
ADIAnalog Devices, Inc.11.5x9.3x23.9%
Most overvalued vs. model
Trading above the regression line
TickerActualModelResidual
ASMLASML Holding N.V.12.9x9.3x39.1%
ADIAnalog Devices, Inc.11.5x9.3x23.9%
AMATApplied Materials, Inc.10.6x9.2x14.8%
LITELumentum Holdings Inc.11.2x11.2x-0.1%
COHRCoherent, Inc.6.5x9.5x-30.9%